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2026-02-07
Analysis
Externalby The Financial Pen · Substack

Investing Under Radical Uncertainty

The article argues that in the current market environment, which is characterized by radical uncertainty, investors should shift from an optimization-focused portfolio to a fortification-focused one. It distinguishes between solvable 'puzzles' and unsolvable 'mysteries' and suggests that the market has transformed into a mystery, where more data doesn't necessarily lead to better outcomes.