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MCDIF

McDermott International·Engineering & Construction·United States

Mcdermott International Ltd. provides engineering, procurement, construction, and installation solutions to the energy industry worldwide. It offers services for offshore field developments, including...

1 Total1 External0 In-site
MCDIFMcDermott International
2026-04-28
🏭 IndustrialsLong
Externalby Alluvial Capital Management · Other

Alluvial Capital Management on McDermott International (MCDIF)

主要经营地

美国(总部)

详细生意模式

全球油气工程、采购、施工与安装(EPCI)承包商,2020年Chapter 11破产重组后由债权人持股,2024年再次进行债务重组并去杠杆化

护城河

🔴弱:破产重组后规模收缩,固定价格遗留项目风险曾使其几近崩溃

估值水平

PE -4.41(亏损),EV/EBITDA 2.98

EV/Market Cap

EV $1.07B / MC $740.79M

网络观点

Alluvial持仓更新:McDermott破产后转型,2025 EBITDA同比+38%,2026指引$520M EBITDA(6.5% margin),2028目标$701M(8% margin);当前~$2B EV交易于2.9x 2028E EBITDA极低估值;遗留固定价格项目降至backlog 1.4%

AI观点

MCDIF是典型"困境反转+催化剂驱动"标的:油气资本支出在2025-2027年因AI数据中心电力需求与LNG出口扩张回升,深海和LNG EPCI管线饱满。然而结构性风险不容忽视:2.9x 2028E EBITDA估值低有原因——市场怀疑$701M EBITDA目标的可达性;2027年到期的优先担保债务约$10亿规模,若高利率环境延续则再融资条件可能稀释股权