LB
LandBridge Company LLC, together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages land and resources to support and enhance oil and natural gas development in the United States. It owns surface acres in and ar...
310 Value on LB (LB)
公司名称:LandBridge Company LLC
详细生意模式:美国
护城河:Pore Space(采出水处理)+PowerBridge(数据中心)。25-35% FCF CAGR。
估值水平:🟡中
EV/Market Cap:2.9x EV/EBITDA, 3.2% FCF yield
网络观点:Pore Space稳定性+PowerBridge的10-15GW期权价值。
AI观点:独特商业模式但存在不确定性。Pore Space稳定($118.5M OpInc),但PowerBridge 10-15GW目标雄心勃勃。短期稳定,长期PowerBridge是赌博。
原文日期:2026-03-27
作者简介:能源和基础设施分析师
310 Value on LB (LB)
公司的名字:LandBridge Company LLC
主要经营地:美国 Texas 州 Houston;资产位于 Permian。
详细的生意模式:拥有 Permian 大量 surface acres,通过 surface use、pore space、easements、资源销售以及数字基础设施/能源项目合作获利,本质是“地表+孔隙空间”收费权资产。
护城河:稀缺地块位置、相邻水处理/管道网络、长期协议、与 WaterBridge 的协同是核心壁垒;地块是不可复制资产。
估值水平:FCF/EV≈3.6%;若按资产轻、增长快来看不便宜。
EV/Market Cap:1.48x
网络观点:原文强调 LandBridge 不是 TPL clone,而是更偏 surface / pore space 资产:Permian stateline 地块让它在采出水处理和数据中心等新用途上都有收费权,SUEE 指标甚至高于 TPL。
AI的观点:官方 2025 年结果确认:公司拥有 31.5 万+ surface acres、2025 收入增 81%、并给出 2026 EBITDA 指引 2.05–2.25 亿美元。我的看法是:资产质量很有意思,商业模式也很强,但估值已把不少未来选择权先计入了。更像优质成长型实物资产,而不是便宜股。
作者简介:非专业投资者;非顶级作者;无13F;近1年回报 17.0%;累计回报 9.3%(12 trades);Twitter @310Value
LandBridge Company LLC (LB): A Bull Case Theory
The investment thesis for LandBridge (LB) is that its true value lies in its pore space ownership for water disposal, not the market's recent focus on a potential AI datacenter. The company generates the majority of its revenue from stable, long-lasting royalties from its sister company, WaterBridge, for produced water disposal. With rising water cuts in the Delaware Basin, LandBridge is well-positioned for growth. The author argues the stock is undervalued compared to peers, and the datacenter possibility offers additional upside with limited downside risk due to the core royalty business.