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AERO

Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V.·Airlines·Mexico

Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, provide public air carrier services for passengers and goods. It offers scheduled passenger air carrier services, cargo air carrier services...

2 Total2 External0 In-site
AEROGrupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V.
2026-02-19
🏭 IndustrialsPitch
Externalby Chop Wood, Carry Water · Substack

Chop Wood, Carry Water on Grupo Aeroméxico, S.A.B. de C.V. (AERO)

主要经营地

墨西哥城(墨西哥)

详细的生意模式

全服务航空:客运+货运+忠诚度;Mexico City枢纽运营国际/国内航线

护城河

枢纽时刻与航线网络;品牌与企业客户;但航空行业结构性弱护城河

估值水平

FCF/EV=16.8%;EV/EBITDA=3.6x;P/E=8.0x

EV/Market Cap

2.01x

网络观点

🟡 破产重组后成本结构改善、盈利超预期;但Delta合作变化、燃油/汇率使不确定仍大

AI的观点

⚠️高杠杆周期股:EV/MarketCap>2 显示净债压力明显

✅核对:重组后债务/租赁条款、燃油对冲、机队capex、Delta JV变化影响

✅用“正常化利润”做压力测试更关键

作者简介

专业❌否;顶级❌否;13F❌否;回报34.0% (17 trades);@alex_dragut

AEROAeromexico
2026-02-18
🏭 IndustrialsAnalysis
Externalby Chop Wood, Carry Water · Substack

Aeromexico post-IPO after Bankruptcy

The author analyzes Aeromexico post-bankruptcy and post-IPO, highlighting its position as Mexico's only full-service carrier with a strong hold on domestic corporate demand. While acknowledging the risks of the airline industry, the author is intrigued by Aeromexico's leaner cost structure, record operating margins, and loyal customer base. The summary also notes the company's solid liquidity and cash flow, but also points out the shareholders' equity deficit and the termination of its joint venture with Delta as potential risks.