Daily Ideas·Analysis·DASH·2026年2月19日

DoorDash Q4 2025: The Meituan Referendum and the Digital Shelf

Nikhs
Substack

Q4 confirmed DoorDash’s franchise strength (orders +32%, GOV +39%, cohorts still accelerating), even as margins compressed and guidance missed. The market’s Meituan framing is consensus, but DoorDash’s true comp is Zomato/Blinkit: same stage, same playbook, harder environment. If grocery hits breakeven, CPG ads become the margin engine; if not, the stock is structurally capped.

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